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Iran

76 articles

EU Parliament Votes 516-14 to Demand Broader Iran Sanctions
diplomacy

EU Parliament Votes 516-14 to Demand Broader Iran Sanctions

Strasbourg lawmakers passed a sweeping non-binding resolution Thursday urging EU Council action on the IRGC, Iran's judiciary and prison officials, raising the political floor for any nuclear deal.

1h ago
House GOP yanks Iran war powers vote as Democrats close in
domestic

House GOP yanks Iran war powers vote as Democrats close in

Republican leaders pulled the Iran war powers resolution from the House floor Thursday after a procedural vote signaled defeat, punting the measure to June.

12h ago
Khamenei Orders Iran's 60% Uranium to Stay in Country
iran middle east

Khamenei Orders Iran's 60% Uranium to Stay in Country

Iran's supreme leader directs that roughly 200 kg of near-weapons-grade uranium remain inside Iran, gutting a core US demand in the Qatar-Pakistan talks framework.

23h ago
Goldman Alarm Meets an $81 Forward Floor as Hormuz Cycle Hardens
Analysis
markets

Goldman Alarm Meets an $81 Forward Floor as Hormuz Cycle Hardens

Goldman warns global oil stocks are approaching an eight-year low while the options strip holds Brent above $81 into mid-2027. Bank research and market pricing have converged.

1d ago
Report: 137 Countries Back Draft UN Resolution on Strait of Hormuz
diplomacy

Report: 137 Countries Back Draft UN Resolution on Strait of Hormuz

Middle East Eye reports a draft UN resolution on the Strait of Hormuz has the backing of 137 countries, landing the same day Iran declared a controlled maritime zone over the chokepoint.

1d ago
Iran Declares Hormuz Authorisation Zone Hours After Trump Cites 'Final Stages'
iran middle east

Iran Declares Hormuz Authorisation Zone Hours After Trump Cites 'Final Stages'

Tehran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority published map coordinates for a controlled maritime zone requiring transit authorisation, hours after the US president said talks were in final stages.

1d ago
Oil Eases on Trump's 'Quick End' Pledge as Hormuz Risk Stays Live
Analysis
markets

Oil Eases on Trump's 'Quick End' Pledge as Hormuz Risk Stays Live

Crude softened after Trump reaffirmed he would end the Iran war 'very quickly,' but supertanker traffic, IRGC transit counts and a 'dramatic' Netanyahu call show the physical risk hasn't moved.

1d ago
Putin and Xi Meet in Beijing as Xi Calls Mideast at 'Critical Juncture'
Analysis
diplomacy

Putin and Xi Meet in Beijing as Xi Calls Mideast at 'Critical Juncture'

Putin and Xi met in Beijing on Wednesday, with Xi framing the Middle East as at a critical juncture between war and peace as Power of Siberia 2 talks advanced and Chinese tankers exited Hormuz.

2d ago
Trump Says He Was an Hour From Iran Strike; Vance Floats Reset
iran middle east

Trump Says He Was an Hour From Iran Strike; Vance Floats Reset

Trump said he was an hour from resuming Iran strikes before pausing the offensive, as VP Vance signaled a US "reset" with Tehran and oil prices fell on the pause.

2d ago
Iran's Floating Oil Stockpile Jumps 65% as US Blockade Bites
iran middle east

Iran's Floating Oil Stockpile Jumps 65% as US Blockade Bites

Iranian crude stored on tankers in and around the Strait of Hormuz has jumped 65 percent since the US naval blockade began mid-April, FT shipping data shows, as Tehran searches for ways to circumvent the choke.

2d ago
Tehran Digs In: Iran Hardens Missile Sites as Washington Pauses
Analysis
defense

Tehran Digs In: Iran Hardens Missile Sites as Washington Pauses

Iran is moving missiles into mountain facilities and rewriting tactics for a long war, NYT reports — a counter-signal to this week's U.S. de-escalation pivot.

3d ago
Trump Says He Called Off Iran Attack at Gulf States' Request
iran middle east

Trump Says He Called Off Iran Attack at Gulf States' Request

President Trump announced Tuesday he held off a planned attack on Iran after Gulf state allies asked him to stand down, citing "serious negotiations" now under way.

3d ago
Iran Establishes Formal Authority to Govern Strait of Hormuz
iran middle east

Iran Establishes Formal Authority to Govern Strait of Hormuz

Iran's Supreme National Security Council has created the Persian Gulf Strait Authority to manage Hormuz operations as Brent crude hits $111.50 and Trump threatens renewed strikes.

4d ago
U.S. Ammo Flights Land in Israel as Military Prepares for Iran
iran middle east

U.S. Ammo Flights Land in Israel as Military Prepares for Iran

Israeli media report dozens of US cargo aircraft delivered ammunition to Tel Aviv from Germany; Israel's military is said to be preparing to join any new US strikes on Iran's nuclear program.

4d ago
Iran Warns UAE Over Israel Ties, Says Patience Has Limits
iran middle east

Iran Warns UAE Over Israel Ties, Says Patience Has Limits

Tehran issues a sharp warning to Abu Dhabi after the UAE attributed Saturday's Barakah drone fire to Iran, citing Israel normalization ties as a red line.

4d ago
Trump: 'Won't Be Anything Left' as US Sets Five-Point Nuclear Ultimatum
iran middle east

Trump: 'Won't Be Anything Left' as US Sets Five-Point Nuclear Ultimatum

Trump sharpened his threat to Iran Saturday evening, warning nothing will remain if talks fail, as the US formally outlined five conditions including transfer of 400kg of enriched uranium.

4d ago
UAE Blames Iran for Barakah Drone Strike; Saudi Backs Abu Dhabi, Qatar Presses Hormuz
iran middle east

UAE Blames Iran for Barakah Drone Strike; Saudi Backs Abu Dhabi, Qatar Presses Hormuz

UAE explicitly attributes Saturday's drone fire near the Barakah nuclear plant to Iran or its proxies; Saudi Arabia backs UAE response measures while Qatar warns Tehran against weaponizing the Strait of Hormuz.

4d ago
Italy, Russia, Pakistan Split Over Tehran's Hormuz Tolls Plan
diplomacy

Italy, Russia, Pakistan Split Over Tehran's Hormuz Tolls Plan

Rome demands an unrestricted reopening, Moscow lines up behind Beijing, and Islamabad offers a Washington-Tehran backchannel as the Trump administration itself splits.

5d ago
Iran To Reveal Hormuz Tolls Plan As Trump Warns of 'Very Bad Time'
markets

Iran To Reveal Hormuz Tolls Plan As Trump Warns of 'Very Bad Time'

Tehran says it will soon publish a transit-fee plan for the Strait of Hormuz; Trump warns of consequences as Seoul opposes and Beijing stays silent.

5d ago
Iran's Araghchi Warns of Prolonged War and Higher US Prices
iran middle east

Iran's Araghchi Warns of Prolonged War and Higher US Prices

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran is ready for a long conflict with Washington and warned American households will pay in fuel and food costs.

5d ago
Trump officials urged UAE to seize Iranian Lavan Island, Telegraph reports
iran middle east

Trump officials urged UAE to seize Iranian Lavan Island, Telegraph reports

A Telegraph report says senior figures in the Trump administration encouraged the UAE to take Iran's Lavan Island, marking a notable escalation claim in the Gulf crisis.

5d ago
China and Iran Push Back on US-Backed Hormuz Resolution at UN
diplomacy

China and Iran Push Back on US-Backed Hormuz Resolution at UN

Beijing and Tehran moved to block a US- and Bahrain-backed UN Security Council resolution on the Strait of Hormuz, as Seoul and Abu Dhabi hedged against Iranian disruption.

5d ago
US Charges Iran-Backed Kataib Hezbollah Commander After Turkey Arrest
iran middle east

US Charges Iran-Backed Kataib Hezbollah Commander After Turkey Arrest

The Justice Department charged a senior Kataib Hezbollah commander over attacks on US personnel after Turkish authorities arrested him, widening the legal campaign against Iran's axis network on Iran war day 78.

6d ago
US Officials Tie Iran to Cyberattack on Fuel-Station Monitoring Systems
defense

US Officials Tie Iran to Cyberattack on Fuel-Station Monitoring Systems

US officials suspect Iran-linked hackers targeted fuel-tank monitoring systems at petrol stations in several states, widening the strike-cycle conflict into critical-infrastructure cyber.

6d ago
Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extended 45 Days as Strikes Continue
diplomacy

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extended 45 Days as Strikes Continue

Washington announced a 45-day extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire after a second day of direct talks, hours after Israeli strikes killed seven in southern Lebanon.

6d ago
Europe-Led Coalition Builds Destroyer-Drone Force to Pry Open Hormuz
defense

Europe-Led Coalition Builds Destroyer-Drone Force to Pry Open Hormuz

A European naval coalition is assembling destroyers and uncrewed surface vessels to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, even as Tehran reasserts control of the waterway.

6d ago
Iran Eases Hormuz Blockade as Talks Signals Emerge
iran middle east

Iran Eases Hormuz Blockade as Talks Signals Emerge

Iran's Revolutionary Guards are allowing more ships through the Strait of Hormuz, state TV reported, the first partial easing since the blockade began after US-Israeli strikes.

6d ago
Trump Warns Iran to Make a Deal or Face 'Annihilation'
iran middle east

Trump Warns Iran to Make a Deal or Face 'Annihilation'

President Trump issued his starkest warning yet to Tehran on war day 77, as oil markets surged and a Xi summit failed to break the nuclear standoff.

May 15, 2026
Trump Warns Iran His Patience Is Running Out, Xi Summit Yields No Deal
iran middle east

Trump Warns Iran His Patience Is Running Out, Xi Summit Yields No Deal

Trump said he will not be "much more patient" with Iran as his Beijing summit with Xi Jinping ended without binding commitments on the Hormuz blockade, raising pressure for a negotiated deal.

May 15, 2026
Saudi Arabia Floats Non-Aggression Pact With Iran
diplomacy

Saudi Arabia Floats Non-Aggression Pact With Iran

Riyadh is reportedly proposing a regional non-aggression agreement with Iran as diplomatic activity accelerates across multiple tracks, according to Middle East Eye.

May 14, 2026
Xi Pledges No Arms to Iran, Backs Hormuz Opening in Trump Summit
diplomacy

Xi Pledges No Arms to Iran, Backs Hormuz Opening in Trump Summit

Trump says Xi Jinping promised not to arm Iran and offered to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with the White House confirming a first joint US-China position on the blockade.

May 14, 2026
Iran Seizes 'Floating Armoury' Ship, Demands Hormuz Compliance
iran middle east

Iran Seizes 'Floating Armoury' Ship, Demands Hormuz Compliance

Iran has seized a vessel described as a floating armoury near UAE waters and warned all ships entering the Strait of Hormuz must cooperate with its navy.

May 14, 2026
Vance Says Iran Talks Progressing, but No One Can Verify Iran's Nukes
Analysis
iran middle east

Vance Says Iran Talks Progressing, but No One Can Verify Iran's Nukes

VP Vance claims diplomatic progress on a ceasefire deal while the IAEA has lost all visibility into Iran's 440-kilogram enriched uranium stockpile since February strikes.

May 14, 2026
Iran Retains 70% of Missile Stockpile, ISW Warns of Rebuilt War Capacity
Analysis
iran middle east

Iran Retains 70% of Missile Stockpile, ISW Warns of Rebuilt War Capacity

ISW assessed that Iran has restored access to 30 of 33 Hormuz-region missile sites and retains roughly 70% of its pre-war stockpile, as IRGC launches major exercises and rejects the US peace plan as surrender.

May 14, 2026
Senate War Powers Vote Falls One Short, 50-49, in Closest Bid Yet to Curb Iran War
iran middle east

Senate War Powers Vote Falls One Short, 50-49, in Closest Bid Yet to Curb Iran War

A bipartisan coalition came within a single vote of invoking the War Powers Resolution against the Iran campaign; Democrat John Fetterman's no vote sealed the outcome.

May 13, 2026
IRGC Stages 'Martyr Commander' War Drills Near Tehran
iran middle east

IRGC Stages 'Martyr Commander' War Drills Near Tehran

Iran's Revolutionary Guards launched a five-day 'Martyr Commander' exercise near Tehran as ISW warns 70% of Iran's pre-war missile stockpile and 30 of 33 Hormuz sites remain operational.

May 13, 2026
Trump Lands in Beijing as Xi Summit Pivots on Iran Ceasefire
diplomacy

Trump Lands in Beijing as Xi Summit Pivots on Iran Ceasefire

Trump arrives for two-day summit with Xi Jinping. The central question: whether China will use its leverage as Iran's dominant oil buyer to press Tehran toward nuclear concessions.

May 13, 2026
Iran Parliament Warns of 90% Uranium Enrichment If U.S. Resumes Strikes
iran middle east

Iran Parliament Warns of 90% Uranium Enrichment If U.S. Resumes Strikes

Iran's parliament speaker threatened to push enrichment to weapons-grade 90% if the U.S. resumes strikes, as the ceasefire frays and Trump heads to Beijing.

May 13, 2026
Trump Weighs Resuming Combat as Iran Ceasefire Hangs by Thread
iran middle east

Trump Weighs Resuming Combat as Iran Ceasefire Hangs by Thread

Trump is more seriously considering resuming combat operations after Iran's ceasefire counterproposal — demanding reparations and Hormuz sovereignty — was rejected as garbage.

May 13, 2026
US Sanctions 12 Entities Routing Iranian Oil to China
iran middle east

US Sanctions 12 Entities Routing Iranian Oil to China

Treasury designates 12 front companies across Hong Kong, UAE, and Oman as Bessent links Beijing's energy purchases to Iranian terrorism financing.

May 12, 2026
Iran Sends Response to US War-Ending Proposal via Pakistan
diplomacy

Iran Sends Response to US War-Ending Proposal via Pakistan

Tehran transmitted its answer to Washington's 14-point framework through Pakistani mediators on May 10, as parallel diplomatic tracks through Qatar, China, and the UN converge this week.

May 10, 2026
Bulk carrier struck off Qatar widens maritime conflict beyond Hormuz
iran middle east

Bulk carrier struck off Qatar widens maritime conflict beyond Hormuz

UKMTO said a bulk carrier was hit by an unknown projectile 23 nautical miles northeast of Doha early Sunday, the first reported maritime strike outside the immediate Strait of Hormuz corridor.

May 10, 2026
Iran Seizes US-Sanctioned Tanker in Gulf of Oman
iran middle east

Iran Seizes US-Sanctioned Tanker in Gulf of Oman

Iran's navy boarded and seized the Ocean Koi on May 8, claiming the vessel disrupted Iranian oil exports — days after the US struck two Iranian tankers.

May 9, 2026
Iran Launches Hormuz Toll Agency, Charges $2M Per Ship
iran middle east

Iran Launches Hormuz Toll Agency, Charges $2M Per Ship

Iran's new Persian Gulf Strait Authority demands up to $2M per vessel to transit Hormuz, forcing shipping operators into a legal collision with U.S. secondary sanctions.

May 9, 2026
Chinese Tanker Hit Near UAE Complicates Beijing's Stance
diplomacy

Chinese Tanker Hit Near UAE Complicates Beijing's Stance

A cruise missile struck the Chinese-owned JV Innovation near the UAE on May 7, the first Chinese vessel hit in the 2026 Hormuz crisis, putting Beijing's neutrality under direct pressure ahead of the May 14 Trump-Xi summit.

May 9, 2026
Satellite Images Show 45 km² Oil Slick Near Kharg Island
markets

Satellite Images Show 45 km² Oil Slick Near Kharg Island

Copernicus Sentinel data shows a suspected 45-square-kilometer oil slick off Iran's Kharg Island, which handles 90% of the country's crude exports. Iran denies the spill.

May 9, 2026
Rubio Expects Iran Answer 'Today'; Parliament Calls MOU a Wish-List
diplomacy

Rubio Expects Iran Answer 'Today'; Parliament Calls MOU a Wish-List

Secretary Rubio said Friday the US expected Iran's response to its 14-point peace framework that day. Tehran's parliament rejected the terms as unrealistic.

May 8, 2026
US Disables Two Iranian Tankers; Iran Strikes UAE
iran middle east

US Disables Two Iranian Tankers; Iran Strikes UAE

US Navy forces disabled two Iranian oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman as Iran launched missiles and drones at UAE targets, pushing Brent crude to $108 intraday.

May 8, 2026
Pezeshkian Tells Macron US 'Stabbed From Behind' as Reply Lands
diplomacy

Pezeshkian Tells Macron US 'Stabbed From Behind' as Reply Lands

On the day Tehran is set to deliver its formal MOU response through Pakistani mediators, Iran's president opened a Paris channel with a trust complaint.

May 7, 2026
Iran to Deliver MOU Response, Disputes Nuclear Framing
diplomacy

Iran to Deliver MOU Response, Disputes Nuclear Framing

Tehran's formal reply to the US 14-point memorandum is expected today through Pakistani mediators, with Iran rejecting the characterization that nuclear talks are underway.

May 7, 2026
Oil Crashes 7.8%, S&P 500 Hits Record as Iran Deal Hopes Build
markets

Oil Crashes 7.8%, S&P 500 Hits Record as Iran Deal Hopes Build

Brent crude tumbled to $101.31 and U.S. stocks ripped to record highs Tuesday as Iran's IRGC Navy reopened Hormuz to safe passage and U.S.-Iran memorandum talks advanced.

May 6, 2026
Trump Threatens Escalated Bombing if Iran Rejects Deal
iran middle east

Trump Threatens Escalated Bombing if Iran Rejects Deal

President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Tehran, warning of a 'much higher level' of bombing if Iran refuses the emerging nuclear framework being negotiated.

May 6, 2026
Araghchi in Beijing as U.S. Presses China to Break Hormuz Deadlock
diplomacy

Araghchi in Beijing as U.S. Presses China to Break Hormuz Deadlock

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in Beijing on Wednesday as Secretary of State Rubio urged China to tell Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz before the May 14 Trump-Xi summit.

May 6, 2026
Iran Demands Hormuz Permits as Trump Pauses Naval Escorts
iran middle east

Iran Demands Hormuz Permits as Trump Pauses Naval Escorts

Tehran's new Persian Gulf Strait Authority requires foreign ships to obtain transit permits before entering the strait, directly challenging the US position that Hormuz is international waters.

May 6, 2026
Iran Strikes UAE for First Time Since Ceasefire, Fujairah Refinery Burns
iran middle east

Iran Strikes UAE for First Time Since Ceasefire, Fujairah Refinery Burns

Iran attacked the UAE on May 4 for the first time since the April 8 ceasefire, igniting a fire at the Fujairah oil export hub and striking an ADNOC tanker — threatening the last major bypass route for Gulf crude.

May 5, 2026
Hegseth Affirms Ceasefire as Iran Warns of 'New Equation'
iran middle east

Hegseth Affirms Ceasefire as Iran Warns of 'New Equation'

Defense Secretary says US-Iran ceasefire holds despite 10+ attacks on US forces, as Iranian parliament speaker warns Tehran has 'not even begun' its Hormuz response.

May 5, 2026
Iran Submits 14-Point Counter to U.S. Ceasefire Offer; Trump Cool
diplomacy

Iran Submits 14-Point Counter to U.S. Ceasefire Offer; Trump Cool

Tehran's counter-proposal demands a 30-day war-end, U.S. withdrawal from Iran's periphery, lifting of the naval blockade and sanctions, frozen-asset release, and a new Hormuz governance regime.

May 3, 2026
Collins Joins Paul as Only GOP Votes for Iran War Powers Resolution
domestic

Collins Joins Paul as Only GOP Votes for Iran War Powers Resolution

Sen. Susan Collins broke with her party April 30 to vote for the Iran War Powers Resolution, citing the 60-day constitutional deadline that lapsed the next day.

May 3, 2026
Trump Claims Iran Hostilities 'Terminated' to Dodge War Powers Deadline
iran middle east

Trump Claims Iran Hostilities 'Terminated' to Dodge War Powers Deadline

Trump sent Congress a letter declaring Iran hostilities 'terminated' as the 60-day War Powers deadline hit, even as the U.S. Navy blockade of Iranian ports remains in force.

May 3, 2026
Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal, Threatens to 'Blast Them Away'
iran middle east

Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal, Threatens to 'Blast Them Away'

Trump said Friday he cannot accept Iran's latest peace terms delivered via Pakistan, warning of military escalation while Hormuz stays closed and oil holds near $108.

May 2, 2026
IAEA Chief Grossi: Iran's Uranium Stockpile Likely Survived Strikes
iran middle east

IAEA Chief Grossi: Iran's Uranium Stockpile Likely Survived Strikes

IAEA Director General Grossi says Iran's enriched uranium stockpile is probably intact inside Isfahan's underground complex, complicating US claims of successful denuclearization.

May 2, 2026
14 IRGC Personnel Killed in Zanjan Ordnance Blast
iran middle east

14 IRGC Personnel Killed in Zanjan Ordnance Blast

An explosion during an IRGC demolition operation in Zanjan province killed 14 personnel and wounded two, the largest single-incident toll since the April 7 ceasefire.

May 2, 2026
OFAC Warns: Paying Iran's Hormuz Crypto Toll Triggers Sanctions
iran middle east

OFAC Warns: Paying Iran's Hormuz Crypto Toll Triggers Sanctions

Treasury's OFAC issued a May 1 alert warning that any payment to Iran for Hormuz transit — fiat, crypto, stablecoins, or informal swaps — exposes both US and non-US persons to sanctions.

May 2, 2026
CENTCOM Briefs Trump on Iran Strike Options, Including Hormuz Seizure
iran middle east

CENTCOM Briefs Trump on Iran Strike Options, Including Hormuz Seizure

CENTCOM Commander Brad Cooper briefed Trump for 45 minutes on May 1 on strike packages including a Hormuz seizure plan and a special forces uranium operation.

May 1, 2026
Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal, Cites Unacceptable Terms
iran middle east

Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal, Cites Unacceptable Terms

President Trump says Iran's latest offer through Pakistan includes demands he cannot accept, as CENTCOM has briefed him on three military options and oil holds near $108.

May 1, 2026
Murkowski Drafts AUMF for Iran With Congressional Guardrails
diplomacy

Murkowski Drafts AUMF for Iran With Congressional Guardrails

Sen. Lisa Murkowski plans an Iran war authorization with built-in requirements for defined objectives — distinct from Democratic termination resolutions and not a blank check.

May 1, 2026
IAEA Blind Spot: Iran's 440kg of 60% Uranium in Isfahan Tunnels
Analysis
iran middle east

IAEA Blind Spot: Iran's 440kg of 60% Uranium in Isfahan Tunnels

IAEA Director Grossi says satellite imagery places roughly half of Iran's 440kg 60%-enriched uranium stockpile in Isfahan's underground tunnels, with no inspectors on site since February.

May 1, 2026
Iran Sends Peace Proposal to Pakistan Mediators
diplomacy

Iran Sends Peace Proposal to Pakistan Mediators

Tehran offers phased Hormuz reopening via Pakistan backchannel, deferring nuclear concessions. Trump signals skepticism; new Supreme Leader issues Gulf warning.

May 1, 2026
War Powers Clock Expires With No Congressional Authorization
Analysis
iran middle east

War Powers Clock Expires With No Congressional Authorization

The 60-day War Powers Resolution deadline passed May 1 as the Senate blocked a withdrawal measure 50-47, leaving U.S. forces in the region without explicit congressional sanction.

May 1, 2026
CENTCOM to brief Trump on Iran strike options as War Powers clock runs
iran middle east

CENTCOM to brief Trump on Iran strike options as War Powers clock runs

Adm. Brad Cooper and Gen. Dan Caine are presenting Trump with new Iran options, including infrastructure strikes and a possible Hormuz ground operation, on the eve of a 60-day War Powers Act deadline.

April 30, 2026
Brent crosses $126 intraday as Trump rejects Iran's Hormuz proposal
markets

Brent crosses $126 intraday as Trump rejects Iran's Hormuz proposal

Brent briefly traded above $126 Thursday before settling near $120 after the president rejected Tehran's offer to lift the Hormuz blockade in exchange for delayed nuclear talks.

April 30, 2026
Putin Backs Iran as Araghchi Visits St. Petersburg
diplomacy

Putin Backs Iran as Araghchi Visits St. Petersburg

Russia pledged full support to Iran as Foreign Minister Araghchi met Putin in St. Petersburg, deepening the diplomatic rift over the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

April 29, 2026
Why Saudi Arabia's diplomatic posture is the most-watched indicator of all
Analysis
diplomacy

Why Saudi Arabia's diplomatic posture is the most-watched indicator of all

Riyadh sits at the center of every Iran scenario. Its public statements, oil decisions, and back-channel signals matter more than any single American or Israeli statement. Here's how to read what Saudi Arabia is actually doing.

April 26, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz playbook: what the 1979 parallel actually tells us
Analysis
iran middle east

The Strait of Hormuz playbook: what the 1979 parallel actually tells us

Every Iran flare-up gets compared to 1979. The comparison is more useful — and more limited — than most coverage admits. Here's what the historical record actually shows about oil, escalation, and where the off-ramps lie.

April 26, 2026
What is the Strait of Hormuz? A no-jargon explainer
Explainer
iran middle east

What is the Strait of Hormuz? A no-jargon explainer

Why a 21-mile stretch of water between Iran and Oman moves oil prices, defense stocks, and gasoline futures every time tensions flare. The geography, the chokepoint dynamic, and the realistic closure scenarios.

April 26, 2026
How likely is World War 3? A rational assessment
Analysis
domestic

How likely is World War 3? A rational assessment

Search volume on 'is WW3 happening' spikes every cycle. The honest answer is more reassuring than cable news, more sobering than the 'won't happen' takes. Here's what historical conflict research actually says.

April 25, 2026