ceasefire
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US-Iran Ceasefire Expires, Oil Tops $91 as Hormuz Stays Shut
The US-Iran ceasefire elapsed Monday without renewal as crude surged past $91 a barrel, Tehran kept the Strait of Hormuz closed, and markets priced in a longer standoff.

Turkey and Iran Hold Talks on Reopening Strait of Hormuz
Turkish FM Hakan Fidan spoke Monday with Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi on Hormuz reopening and the US-Iran ceasefire, as a UAE tanker was detained near Qeshm Island.

Israel Escalates Lebanon Strikes, Kills Second Hezbollah Commander
Israeli warplanes struck Nabatieh and killed a second Hezbollah commander on Sunday as the death toll from one day of Israeli attacks in south Lebanon reached 11, despite the US-brokered June ceasefire.

The Oil Test: Vance Revealed Washington's Real War Aim — and Iran Is Consolidating for a Long Siege
JD Vance's declaration that cheap oil is America's top priority in the Iran war — ahead of nuclear disarmament — rewrites the public rationale for the conflict and signals a siege strategy, not a sprint to a deal.

Israeli Drone Strike Wounds Three in Gaza Despite Active Ceasefire
An Israeli drone targeted a motorcycle in Deir al-Balah on Saturday, wounding three Palestinians, in what ceasefire monitors are calling the latest truce violation.

Israeli Airstrike on Ansar Kills Seven in South Lebanon
An Israeli airstrike on a house in the southern Lebanese town of Ansar killed at least seven people and wounded three early Saturday, Lebanese civil defense said — the deadliest strike since the June ceasefire.

Trump Vows to Declare Hormuz a U.S. Territory as Iran Talks Stall
President Trump announced plans to declare the Strait of Hormuz U.S. territory while threatening new economic pressure on Iran as ceasefire negotiations remain deadlocked.

Trump Said Ukraine Had No Cards. Kyiv Struck Russia Anyway.
Despite White House signals that Ukraine lacked diplomatic leverage, Kyiv launched operations on Russian territory, challenging the administration's framing of the war.

Russia Destroys WHO Warehouse, Rejects Ukraine Ceasefire Freeze
A Russian strike destroyed a World Health Organization supply warehouse in Ukraine as Moscow formally rejected any ceasefire freeze not meeting Putin's demands.

Gaza Strikes Continue as Disarmament Deal Stalls on Sequencing
Israeli strikes killed at least 18 Palestinians in Gaza as Israel and Hamas remained divided over whether disarmament or military withdrawal must happen first.

Israeli Strikes Kill Four in Gaza as Trump Claims Breakthrough
Israeli airstrikes killed at least four Palestinians in Gaza on Sunday, including a child, as President Trump announced what he called a diplomatic breakthrough in the region.

Trump to Host Netanyahu and Zelenskyy as Two Wars Converge
President Trump will meet separately with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy as both the Iran and Ukraine conflicts reach what officials describe as critical stages.

Russian Strikes Spark Kyiv Fires Ahead of Trump-Zelensky Meeting
Russia struck Kyiv overnight, sparking fires across the capital, as ceasefire talks edged forward and Zelensky alleged Moscow is seeking 30,000 more North Korean troops.

Russia Says Ukraine Killed 11 at Tourist Camp; Kyiv Hits Russian Refinery
Russia blamed Ukraine for killing 11 at a holiday camp Saturday; Kyiv struck a Russian oil refinery in escalating cross-border exchanges across the war's fourth summer.

CENTCOM Announces No New Iran Strikes, Ending 13-Night Streak
US Central Command made no announcement of fresh strikes on Iran overnight, the first pause after 13 consecutive nights of attacks, according to reports from Times of Israel and Jerusalem Post.

Zelenskyy Says Trump Now Understands Who Is Blocking Ukraine Peace
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy said Friday that Donald Trump has come to understand which parties are preventing an end to the war in Ukraine, a notable diplomatic signal from Kyiv.

Rubio Says 'New Ideas' Needed for Ukraine Peace After Lavrov Talks
Secretary of State Rubio met Russian FM Lavrov in the Philippines and warned that ending the Ukraine war will require fresh diplomatic approaches, with no quick deal expected.

Trump Threatens Iran Power Grid as U.S. Strikes Enter Seventh Night
The U.S. military completed seven straight nights of Iran strikes as Trump warned of imminent attacks on power plants and bridges if Tehran refuses to return to the negotiating table.

Israeli Drone Strike Kills Palestinian in Gaza Despite Ceasefire
An Israeli drone strike hit a civilian vehicle near the Nuseirat refugee camp in central Gaza on Saturday, killing one Palestinian and wounding two others amid an active ceasefire.

Trump Says Iran Talks Continue as He Warns of Missile Strike on Tehran
Trump confirmed U.S.-Iran talks will continue while threatening missile strikes if Tehran targets the U.S. president, even as he declared the ceasefire finished.

Graham Calls on China to Press Russia; Trump Said to Back Oil Tariffs
Senator Graham urges Beijing to leverage economic ties with Moscow as sources say the Trump administration is moving toward heavy tariffs on Russian oil exports.

Macron: Iranian Strikes Violated MoU, But Ceasefire Talks Will Continue
Macron said at the NATO Ankara summit that Iran's Gulf strikes breached the Islamabad MoU and Tehran was wrong to carry them out, but that ceasefire talks would proceed despite Trump calling the deal 'over.'

Trump Warns U.S. Will 'Probably' Strike Iran Again Wednesday Night
Speaking at NATO's Ankara summit, Trump said the U.S. will likely hit Iran again Wednesday night, days after strikes on Bandar Abbas and Iranian attacks on Gulf bases and tankers.

Trump Declares Iran Ceasefire Over After Hormuz Tanker Attacks
Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire 'over' at NATO's Ankara summit after Iranian forces struck a Qatari LNG tanker and a Saudi crude ship in the Strait of Hormuz on July 7.

Iran Nuclear Deal Faces Collapse as Strikes Consume the 60-Day Window
With 39 days left in the Islamabad MoU's 60-day nuclear window, fresh strikes and reimposed sanctions are threatening to collapse Iran-U.S. talks before a final deal can take shape.

Iran Strikes U.S. Bases in Bahrain and Kuwait, Threatens to Halt Ceasefire Talks
Iran's IRGC struck 85 U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait on July 8 and threatened to suspend MOU negotiations, putting the 60-day Islamabad ceasefire under its gravest stress.

Iran Refuses IAEA Access to Nuclear Sites With Deal Deadline Six Weeks Away
Tehran insists inspectors may not enter bombed enrichment facilities until a final deal is signed, even as the 60-day ceasefire clock runs toward an August expiration.

Iran Insists on Hormuz Transit Fees, Offering China Special Terms
Iran's ambassador to China told the World Peace Forum on July 5 that Hormuz service fees are inevitable, directly challenging the six-week-old ceasefire accord with Washington.

Trump Says Putin 'Feels Pressure' Over Ukraine After Direct Call
President Trump says Russian President Vladimir Putin is feeling the weight of the war in Ukraine, following a direct phone call between the two leaders reported Monday.

Trump Says Ukraine War End 'Getting Close' as Russia Strikes Kyiv
President Trump said the war is 'getting close' to ending even as Russia launched large-scale attacks on Kyiv and Ukrainian drones struck Russia's largest oil refinery.

Russia Claims Ukraine Rejected Ceasefire in Kostiantynivka Dispute
Moscow says Kyiv turned down a proposed local pause in fighting near the Donetsk city of Kostiantynivka as Trump prepares to meet Zelensky at the NATO summit.

Trump, Zelensky to Meet at NATO Summit as Kyiv Warns of Strike
President Trump will hold talks with Ukrainian President Zelensky at the NATO summit as Russia claims Kostiantynivka and rejects a local ceasefire deal.

Halt Hour 72: Three Tests Still Open as Wednesday's Asia Session Opens
The US-Iran halt enters day three at the Wednesday Asian open with no verification movement. Congressional briefings began Tuesday with no public output from any member.

New York Opens at Hour 40: Oil Traders Price an Unverified Halt
US energy futures began their first New York session since the Iran exchange cycle with all three halt verification tests still open and no official statement from Tehran.

Inside the Hormuz 'Arrangements' Dispute Stalling the US-Iran Halt
Iran's Foreign Minister blamed altered Hormuz arrangements, not the US strikes, for resumed hostilities — making the arrangements question the technical talks' core bottleneck.

Halt at 36 Hours: Congress Opens, New York Session Three Hours Out
The US-Iran pause reaches its thirty-sixth hour with London mid-session, Congress opening its first working day since the War Powers filing, and New York three hours out.

Halt at 32 Hours: London Session Opens Without Iranian Confirmation
The US-Iran pause held through Asia's Monday session with all three verification tests still open, handing European markets and Congress an unresolved halt.

Halt Enters Day Two With All Three Verification Tests Still Open
The US-Iran pause holds through Sunday night without a new exchange, but Tehran has not confirmed it, no tanker has transited Hormuz, and the Oman channel has not spoken.

The Halt Holds at Hour 18. Its Verification Tests Have Not.
Tehran has issued no on-record confirmation. No commercial tanker has transited Hormuz. The Oman working group has not spoken. What needs to move before Tuesday.

Tehran Has Not Confirmed the Halt: Why That Silence Matters
Iran's three public channels — Foreign Ministry, IRGC, and the Supreme Leader's office — must each move in the same direction before Tehran can confirm the halt on the record.

US and Iran Agree to Halt Strikes, Allow Free Hormuz Transit
Washington and Tehran have agreed to temporarily halt strikes and let ships sail freely through the Strait of Hormuz as technical talks resume, a US official said Sunday.

US Strikes Iranian Drone, Missile, and Radar Sites After Hormuz Attack
US Central Command said Friday it struck Iranian missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar positions in response to Thursday's drone attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.

Versailles Day Seven: Cargo Ship Strike Tests the Framework
A projectile struck a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz Thursday evening, halting the UN evacuation plan and putting the Versailles framework under its first concrete test.

IDF Soldier Killed, 13 Wounded in Saturday Southern Lebanon Attack
An Israeli soldier was killed and 13 others wounded in a Saturday attack in southern Lebanon, the IDF said via Times of Israel — the second IDF combat-death event in 48 hours.

Lebanon Reports 28 Killed in Israeli Strikes, Deadliest Day Since Deal
Lebanon's National News Agency says at least 28 people were killed in Israeli airstrikes across southern Lebanon early Friday, the deadliest day since the US-Iran deal came into force.

Hezbollah Tank Strike Kills Four IDF Soldiers in Southern Lebanon
Israel's military says four soldiers, including a battalion commander, were killed Friday when Hezbollah hit their tank in southern Lebanon — the first IDF combat deaths since the Versailles MOU.

Pakistan Says US and Iran Agreed Deal Text; Signals Conflict
Pakistan's foreign ministry says the final text of a US-Iran peace deal has been agreed, but Trump and Tehran are trading contradictory public statements on terms and timing.

US and Iran Said to Prepare Direct Talks During Ceasefire
Washington and Tehran are reportedly preparing direct negotiations during the announced ceasefire, even as Iran publicly insists no final deal has been reached.

Trump Cancels Iran Strikes, Claims Deal Could Be Signed in Europe
Trump said he has cancelled planned US strikes on Iran and claimed a settlement could be signed in Europe this weekend, though Tehran has not publicly confirmed any agreement.

Talks Survive as U.S. and Iran Trade Strikes
Backchannel nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran remain active even as both sides exchange fire overnight, CNN reports. The diplomatic track is the under-reported development.

Oil Spikes, Futures Slide as Iran Missile Barrage Tests Ceasefire
Crude jumped and U.S. stock futures fell Sunday night after Iran fired missiles at Israel, even as OPEC+ approved a 188,000 bpd July supply boost.

Iran calls US assets 'legitimate targets' after Israel strikes Beirut
Iran's parliament speaker warned of a 'painful' response after Israel hit Beirut's southern suburbs Sunday, as Trump endorsed continued 'surgical' Hezbollah strikes.

Lebanon Army Chief Heads to Pakistan as Munir Pushes Iran Mediation
Lebanese army chief Gen. Rudolf Haykal travels to Islamabad at Field Marshal Asim Munir's invitation as Pakistan presses mediation to end the US-Israel war on Iran.

Israeli Strike Kills Three Lebanese Army Soldiers in South Lebanon
Israeli forces killed three Lebanese army personnel and at least seven civilians across south Lebanon on Saturday, the deadliest army loss since the November 2024 ceasefire.

CENTCOM Says US Shot Down Four Iranian Drones Near Strait of Hormuz
US forces intercepted four Iranian attack drones and struck Iranian radar sites overnight, threatening fragile ceasefire efforts and nuclear talks near the Strait of Hormuz.

Hezbollah Rejects Lebanon-Israel Ceasefire as Israel Strikes Continue
Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem rejected the US-brokered ceasefire framework agreed between Israel and Lebanon, casting doubt on whether the truce can hold.

Iran Submits Counter-Amendments, Rejects Trump's Ceasefire Changes
Tehran formally countered U.S. revisions to a draft ceasefire memorandum, with an Iranian source warning Trump's proposed amendments should not be read as accepted.

Israeli Hawks Push Back on Trump's 60-Day Iran Framework
Israeli political and security hawks are pressing the Netanyahu government to oppose the White House's 60-day Iran ceasefire-and-deal framework, arguing it freezes rather than dismantles Tehran's nuclear program.

IRGC fires on Hormuz ships as Vance says US, Iran 'very close' to deal
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps opened fire on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz Friday morning, hours after Vice President JD Vance said Washington and Tehran are near a memorandum extending the 60-day ceasefire.

US Deploys F-22 Stealth Fighters Across Israel: Report
Middle East Eye reports US F-22 Raptors and aerial refueling aircraft have moved to Israeli bases as the Iran ceasefire wobbles after fresh self-defense strikes.

Tehran tells Baghdad to bar its airspace from threats to Iran
Iran's Supreme National Security Council deputy Ali Bagheri Kani publicly pressed Iraq to ensure its territory and airspace are not used against Iran as Doha truce talks continue.

Iran Calls US Strikes 'Gross Violation' as Doha Talks Continue
Tehran's foreign ministry condemned Monday's US strikes near Bandar Abbas as a ceasefire breach while Iranian and Qatari negotiators kept talks running in Doha.

Rubio Says Hormuz Can Reopen 'Without Toll' as Insurance Premiums Hold at 5%
Secretary Rubio's 'no toll' line is the U.S. counter to Iran and Oman toll proposals, but war-risk insurance premiums have not budged from five times pre-war levels.

White House Set to Unveil Iran Deal Sunday With 60-Day Ceasefire
Reports describe a US-Iran framework due Sunday: a 60-day ceasefire extension, phased release of frozen Iranian assets tied to nuclear verification, capped enrichment, and IAEA inspections.

Iran Sends Fresh Response to US via Pakistan Mediator
Tehran transmitted a new answer to Washington's war-ending proposal through Pakistani intermediaries Monday as Iran insists nuclear enrichment rights are non-negotiable and the IRGC reports strikes in Iraq.

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extended 45 Days as Strikes Continue
Washington announced a 45-day extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire after a second day of direct talks, hours after Israeli strikes killed seven in southern Lebanon.

Lebanon and Israel Hold Direct Talks in Washington Amid Strikes
Lebanon and Israel are conducting ambassador-level talks in Washington with cautious optimism, even as Israeli strikes continue in southern Lebanese towns.

Vance Says Iran Talks Progressing, but No One Can Verify Iran's Nukes
VP Vance claims diplomatic progress on a ceasefire deal while the IAEA has lost all visibility into Iran's 440-kilogram enriched uranium stockpile since February strikes.

IRGC Stages 'Martyr Commander' War Drills Near Tehran
Iran's Revolutionary Guards launched a five-day 'Martyr Commander' exercise near Tehran as ISW warns 70% of Iran's pre-war missile stockpile and 30 of 33 Hormuz sites remain operational.

Trump Lands in Beijing as Xi Summit Pivots on Iran Ceasefire
Trump arrives for two-day summit with Xi Jinping. The central question: whether China will use its leverage as Iran's dominant oil buyer to press Tehran toward nuclear concessions.

Iran Parliament Warns of 90% Uranium Enrichment If U.S. Resumes Strikes
Iran's parliament speaker threatened to push enrichment to weapons-grade 90% if the U.S. resumes strikes, as the ceasefire frays and Trump heads to Beijing.

Trump Weighs Resuming Combat as Iran Ceasefire Hangs by Thread
Trump is more seriously considering resuming combat operations after Iran's ceasefire counterproposal — demanding reparations and Hormuz sovereignty — was rejected as garbage.

Iran Sends Response to US War-Ending Proposal via Pakistan
Tehran transmitted its answer to Washington's 14-point framework through Pakistani mediators on May 10, as parallel diplomatic tracks through Qatar, China, and the UN converge this week.

Trump threatens 'Project Freedom Plus' as Iran weighs MOU
Washington has put a one-page MOU in front of Tehran covering nuclear stockpile transfer, sanctions relief and Hormuz. Trump says rejection means an expanded strike campaign.

Bahrain Arrests 41 IRGC-Linked Suspects as Ceasefire Holds
Bahrain detained 41 individuals tied to Iran's IRGC while Washington awaits Tehran's formal response to a U.S.-drafted ceasefire memorandum of understanding.

Rubio Expects Iran Answer 'Today'; Parliament Calls MOU a Wish-List
Secretary Rubio said Friday the US expected Iran's response to its 14-point peace framework that day. Tehran's parliament rejected the terms as unrealistic.

Iran Strikes UAE for First Time Since Ceasefire, Fujairah Refinery Burns
Iran attacked the UAE on May 4 for the first time since the April 8 ceasefire, igniting a fire at the Fujairah oil export hub and striking an ADNOC tanker — threatening the last major bypass route for Gulf crude.

Hegseth Affirms Ceasefire as Iran Warns of 'New Equation'
Defense Secretary says US-Iran ceasefire holds despite 10+ attacks on US forces, as Iranian parliament speaker warns Tehran has 'not even begun' its Hormuz response.

Iran Submits 14-Point Counter to U.S. Ceasefire Offer; Trump Cool
Tehran's counter-proposal demands a 30-day war-end, U.S. withdrawal from Iran's periphery, lifting of the naval blockade and sanctions, frozen-asset release, and a new Hormuz governance regime.

Trump Rejects Iran Peace Proposal, Threatens to 'Blast Them Away'
Trump said Friday he cannot accept Iran's latest peace terms delivered via Pakistan, warning of military escalation while Hormuz stays closed and oil holds near $108.

14 IRGC Personnel Killed in Zanjan Ordnance Blast
An explosion during an IRGC demolition operation in Zanjan province killed 14 personnel and wounded two, the largest single-incident toll since the April 7 ceasefire.

Iran Sends Peace Proposal to Pakistan Mediators
Tehran offers phased Hormuz reopening via Pakistan backchannel, deferring nuclear concessions. Trump signals skepticism; new Supreme Leader issues Gulf warning.

War Powers Clock Expires With No Congressional Authorization
The 60-day War Powers Resolution deadline passed May 1 as the Senate blocked a withdrawal measure 50-47, leaving U.S. forces in the region without explicit congressional sanction.