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Saturday, Oct 3
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US-Russia Talks on Ukraine War Said to Include Oil Deal

The New York Times reports US-Russia talks aimed at ending the Ukraine war include discussion of a multibillion-dollar oil deal, Reuters says, as fighting over Kyiv's bridges continues.

US-Russia Talks on Ukraine War Said to Include Oil Deal
Photo: Sgt. Anthony Jones / 45th Infantry Brigade Combat Team / DVIDS / DVIDS · Public Domain (US Government work)
By David MitchellDiplomacy correspondent·Published ·3 min read

Talks between the United States and Russia aimed at ending the war in Ukraine include discussion of a multibillion-dollar oil deal, according to a New York Times report cited by Reuters.

What was reported

Reuters, relaying the Times report, said the energy component is part of the broader US-Russia negotiating track on the war, without disclosing the value of the deal, the companies or entities involved, or whether it would require sanctions relief to proceed. The America Strikes Desk has not independently verified those details and has not seen confirmation from the White House, the State Department, or the Kremlin on the record.

If accurate, the linkage of an oil deal to the Ukraine talks would mirror a pattern the Trump administration has used elsewhere this week: pairing security and diplomatic negotiations with large energy transactions. On Thursday, the administration finalized an $8.4 billion oil recovery deal with South Korea, the Desk reported, in an agreement tied to a broader package of economic and security commitments. Whether the two deals share common terms or negotiators has not been reported.

The battlefield backdrop

The talks are unfolding as Russia escalates strikes on Kyiv’s infrastructure rather than scaling back. Russian forces struck a second major bridge in the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv’s mayor said, days after an earlier strike on a different span, according to the BBC. Al Jazeera reported that five people were killed as Kyiv and Moscow traded strikes, and that the bridge was the second such target hit in two days. The AP described the targeting of bridges as a tactic meant to disrupt daily life in the capital, distinct from strikes on residential sites. Ukraine pushed allies for tighter sanctions on Russia after an earlier round of bridge strikes this week, as the Desk reported Friday.

That continued bombardment stands alongside the Treasury Department’s parallel pressure campaign on Iran, a separate theater where Washington has moved this week to sanction networks tied to Tehran’s auto, rail, and steel sectors, the Desk reported. Neither action has been described by US officials as directly linked to the Russia-Ukraine talks, but both reflect a broader pattern of the administration pairing sanctions and dealmaking leverage across active negotiating tracks.

A warning from Moldova

Moldovan President Maia Sandu said Russia will remain a major threat to Europe even after the war in Ukraine ends, according to a report from the Kyiv Post. The report did not specify the context of Sandu’s remarks or whether she addressed the reported US-Russia oil deal talks directly. Her comments nonetheless underscore skepticism among some European officials that a negotiated end to the war, on whatever terms, would resolve the broader security concerns Russia poses to the region.

What is not yet known

Neither Washington nor Moscow has confirmed the terms of any oil deal tied to the Ukraine talks, and Reuters’ report, as relayed from the Times, does not specify a timeline for an agreement or whether it is contingent on a ceasefire or broader peace settlement. The Desk has also not confirmed which companies or government entities would be party to such a deal, or how it would interact with existing US and European sanctions on Russian energy exports. This is a developing story and will be updated as the negotiating track and the battlefield situation both continue to move.

Separately, the administration’s buildup of a third aircraft carrier near Iran, reported by the Desk this week, illustrates that the Ukraine talks are proceeding alongside, not in place of, active military pressure on a second front. How the two tracks relate, if at all, has not been addressed by US officials.

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