Brent crude
44 articles
Halt Hour 104: European Session Holds Pause Premium Ahead of New York
Four hours into Thursday's European session, halt hour 104 carries no Oman formulation or Lloyd's repricing — the last pre-holiday US window opens in approximately six hours.
Halt Hour 82: European Mid-Session Holds Ahead of New York Pre-Market
The US-Iran halt runs 82 hours through the European mid-morning with no Oman statement, no Iranian confirmation, and no E3 diplomatic signal ahead of the New York open.
Halt at 32 Hours: London Session Opens Without Iranian Confirmation
The US-Iran pause held through Asia's Monday session with all three verification tests still open, handing European markets and Congress an unresolved halt.
Oil Enters Asia Session as Iran-US Halt Holds, Tehran Silent
Brent entered Tokyo's Monday session at an elevated war-risk premium with the halt unverified by Tehran, no tanker transit, and the Oman working group still silent.
Hormuz Halt Tests the Monday Open: What Oil Markets Are Reading
The US-Iran strike pause was announced before Asian markets opened Sunday night. Brent's direction as London opens will be the cleanest verdict on whether traders believe it holds.
Hormuz Dark: Oil Markets Face Structural Shift as Gulf Strikes Verified
With the UN corridor suspended and IRGC strikes verified at two US Gulf bases, oil markets face a structural risk repricing heading into Monday's open.
Oil's Sunday Open Carries New Variables After Iran Struck Bahrain
Iran's drone strike on Bahrain Saturday changes the calculation heading into the Sunday Asian open — markets now price a two-sided exchange, not a one-sided US enforcement action.
Brent in the European Session: War Premium Holds Without Iran Reply
Fourteen hours after CENTCOM struck Iranian soil, European crude traders inherit a compounded risk structure with no battle-damage assessment and no Iranian response on record.
Oil's Asian Session Faces Compounded Risk After CENTCOM Strikes
Brent crude enters Saturday's Asian open pricing two escalation events: Thursday's cargo-ship strike and Friday's confirmed US kinetic action on Iranian soil — the first since Versailles.
Oil Markets Face Reckoning After Hormuz Cargo Ship Strike
Crude had erased its war premium Thursday, trading at pre-conflict lows. A projectile strike on a cargo ship in the strait reverses that bet overnight.
An Accident and a Declaration: The LNG Cycle's Monday Test
Monday's window closed with a Hormuz closure declaration the underwriting room did not designate and an LNG hub explosion at Ras Laffan that killed at least 13.
Hormuz: What an IRGC Declaration Does and Doesn't Do
A service-arm closure call is not an operational instrument. The gap between the IRGC's Saturday Hormuz declaration and Monday's freight tape is the diagnostic.
Brent's Sunday Open: Pricing the Weekend Silence
Crude futures reopen Sunday evening ET into a tape shaped by three weekend silences. The first ticks will tell traders what cannot yet be said in cables.
Monday's Freight Tape Inherits the Weekend's Three Silences
Brent priced the Versailles signature. Freight has not priced Friday's Lebanon escalation. The disclosed VLCC TCE spread is the Monday diagnostic.
The Freight Tape Has the Final Word on Friday's Hormuz Reopening
The Versailles signature and Brent's slide priced Friday as the base case. The Lloyd's JWC follow-up, the VLCC TCE spread, and the AIS cadence have not run yet.
Brent Falls to March Lows as Markets Look Past Tehran's Warning
Brent crude continued its slide to early-March lows Tuesday even as Tehran warned of a 'harsh response' over Israeli strikes on Lebanon, Al Jazeera reported.
Brent's Monday Open: The First Cash-Market Test of the Iran Deal
Sunday's US-Iran peace announcement leaves Monday's Asia and London tape to price what is signed, what is sequenced, and what remains undocumented before Geneva.
What a Geneva Slip This Weekend Costs the Oil Trade
A weekend slip on the Geneva memorandum would force traders to reprice tanker insurance, Brent calendar spreads, and the assumption that a ceasefire glide path is durable.
Brent Crude Slides 4% as Trump Cancels Iran Strikes
Brent fell more than 4% in European trade Friday after President Trump cancelled planned strikes on Iran and said a settlement was near. Goldman Sachs cut its 2027 forecast as the war-risk premium unwound.
US Navy F/A-18 Disables Iran-Bound Oil Tanker in Gulf of Oman
A US Navy Super Hornet struck and disabled an unladen tanker headed to load Iranian crude, CENTCOM said, as Tehran announced a new maritime security belt across regional sea lanes.
China Delays 500,000 Bpd of Refining as Hormuz Disruption Deepens
Chinese refiners have pushed back roughly 500,000 barrels per day of new processing capacity as Strait of Hormuz disruptions from the Iran-Israel war squeeze crude supply.
Brent Nears $100 as Hormuz Crisis Drives US Gas Prices Up 42%
Brent crude approaches $100 a barrel as US petrol prices surge 42.2% year over year. China draws down its strategic stockpile while demand destruction offers the only brake on further gains.
HSBC Warns of Oil 'Super-Squeeze' as Hormuz Nears Tipping Point
HSBC says the Strait of Hormuz disruption has created a super-squeeze in physical oil markets that could trigger sharp price spikes as global inventories run dangerously low.
Trump Sends Iran Deal Back for Revisions as Oil Tops $94
Trump submitted a revised Iran proposal with stricter nuclear and Hormuz provisions as Brent crude topped $94 and the IRGC warned that cooperation with hostile forces near the strait would be treated as a security threat.
Oil Slides Below $100 on Iran Deal Hopes, Then US Walks the Timeline Back
Brent fell under $100 on reports of a "pretty solid" US-Iran framework before Rubio, Trump and Tehran all softened the timeline — leaving a paper deal that trails the physical reopening of Hormuz.
EU now prices the Iran war into euro-area growth and inflation
Brussels cut 2026 eurozone growth to 0.9% and lifted inflation to 3.0%, formally treating the Iran war as a structural energy shock and raising ECB-hike pressure.
Hormuz Insurance Won't Snap Back Even If a Deal Lands
Underwriters are holding war-risk premiums at $3M-$8M per tanker even as Brent falls on deal optimism, anticipating six months of mine clearance and a re-set baseline that won't reverse quickly.
Goldman Alarm Meets an $81 Forward Floor as Hormuz Cycle Hardens
Goldman warns global oil stocks are approaching an eight-year low while the options strip holds Brent above $81 into mid-2027. Bank research and market pricing have converged.
Oil Eases on Trump's 'Quick End' Pledge as Hormuz Risk Stays Live
Crude softened after Trump reaffirmed he would end the Iran war 'very quickly,' but supertanker traffic, IRGC transit counts and a 'dramatic' Netanyahu call show the physical risk hasn't moved.
IEA: Global Oil Inventories Draining at Record Pace
Global oil stocks fell 117 million barrels in April alone as the Hormuz blockade cuts 14 mb/d of supply, the IEA says, with Brent holding near $106/bbl.
Saudi Aramco Posts Record Profit as Hormuz War Drives Oil to $107
Saudi Arabia's state oil giant earned $32.5 billion in Q1 2026, up 25% year-on-year, as Strait of Hormuz combat keeps Brent above $100 and war-risk insurance premiums at 8–10x pre-war levels.
Trump calls Iran's reply 'TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE' as Khamenei orders military to 'confront the enemy'
Hours after Iran submitted its ceasefire reply via Pakistan, Trump threatened resumed bombing and Khamenei issued fresh combat directives, pushing talks to the edge.
UAE air defenses engage Iranian missiles, drones; three wounded
The UAE Defense Ministry said its air defenses engaged two Iranian ballistic missiles and three drones, the first acknowledged Iranian strike on Emirati territory in the current escalation.
Oil Markets Fracture: Futures Say $101, Physical Barrels Cost $130
Front-month Brent futures and physical Dated Brent have diverged by more than $30 for the first time, as the Hormuz closure drains refinery stockpiles faster than financial markets can price the shock.
Brent Crude Drops 8.6% to $106 on Iran Deal Optimism
Brent fell $10 to $106.52/barrel and WTI neared $93 as traders priced out conflict risk on reports of an imminent US-Iran nuclear framework agreement.
Rubio: Operation Epic Fury Is Over, US Shifts to Defense
Secretary of State Rubio declared the US-Israel military campaign against Iran complete, saying Washington has moved to a defensive posture as deal talks advance.
OPEC+ Adds 188,000 bpd for June in First Meeting Without UAE
Seven OPEC+ producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed Sunday to raise June output by 188,000 barrels per day, the cartel's first quota call since the UAE's May 1 exit.
Spirit Airlines Folds, First US Corporate Casualty of Hormuz Oil Shock
Spirit cancelled all 9,000 May flights and began an orderly wind-down Saturday after a proposed $500M federal bailout collapsed, citing record jet-fuel prices.
EIA Forecasts $115 Brent Peak as Hormuz Cuts 6.7 mb/d in May
U.S. and international energy agencies report the deepest supply disruption on record, with EIA projecting Brent to peak at $115 in Q2 and gasoline averaging $3.70 this year.
Brent Crude Falls to $108 on Iran Peace Signal
Brent crude settled at $108.17 Friday as Iran peace-talk optimism trimmed a $126 peak, but Hormuz war-risk insurance remains effectively closed and the nuclear file unresolved.
Trump Posts 'No More Mr. Nice Guy,' Cancels Islamabad Talks
Trump rejected Iran's Hormuz proposal, canceled Pakistan-mediated talks, and threatened an extended blockade as Brent crude held above $114 for an eighth straight session.
UAE Quits OPEC on May 1, Stripping Cartel of No. 3 Producer
The UAE announced its exit from OPEC effective May 1, removing the cartel's third-largest producer as Brent crude trades above $114 amid a closed Strait of Hormuz.
What an Iran flare-up does to oil, gold, and defense stocks — the playbook
Every Iran cycle moves the same set of tickers in the same direction. Here's what the historical record shows about timing, magnitude, and the rotation that happens after the first 72 hours.
Brent vs WTI — what's the actual difference, and why does it matter?
Two oil benchmarks, set in different oceans, priced differently, used by different industries. Understanding the spread is essential for any reader of energy news.